Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. World No. Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Genesis Invitational picks 2023: Why our experts trust If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. All Rights Reserved. He was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. TPC Louisiana | Par 72 | 7,425 yards | Pete Dye design, TPC Louisiana in Avondale, Louisiana. Caddie: Jason Day (45-1, DraftKings) Theres something quietly brewing right now with the former World No. Im not really understanding why Henleys priced up here just below the elites. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. 2023 American Express First Round Leader Picks: Can Davis Riley Start Hot? There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Russell Knox (+750, DraftKings) Knox comes into this event ranked 18th in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week so its not surprising to see that he already has three top-10 finishes to his name here at El Camaleon. He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. Rory McIlroy, No. Our experts, as always, are in search of a little more value down the odds board, however. It just doesnt need to. Tom Kim ($8,400 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. Released Wednesday. The Stokastic 2022-2023 NBA DFS Content Schedule, Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings & Underdog Fantasy, Jock MKT NBA DFS IPO Pricing/Projections FREE, Expert Golf Betting Tool | Prop Bet Projections, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results, Stokastics Camping World Series Projections, F1 DFS Projections for DraftKings Formula One Fantasy Racing, NASCAR Camping World Series Ownership Projections, NASCAR Top Drivers Tool Simulation Probabilities, How to Play DraftKings F1 DFS: Formula 1 Fantasy Racing Advice & How To Win Tournaments, CSGO Ownership Projections for DraftKings, The Stokastic Podcast Network Directory, Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Podcast All Sports, Betting U College Sports Betting Podcast, Sports Betting 101: Bet Types Part II (FREE). Every year, theres a contingent of native and resident Southeasterners who find a return to bermuda greens as comfortable as sliding on a favorite T-shirt. 1 DFS Player. Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. He played here last year and posted a very impressive 22nd-place finish on his first attempt here at El Camaleon. 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. Picks Will Zalatoris ($9,400 DraftKings | $10,900 FanDuel). In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. Cole was impressive and a great story last week, but theres a big red flag in his stat profile. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. Scheffler will be rusty coming in and only finished 45th in the one event he has played in the last nine weeks. You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine. Corey Conners ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). Hes been competitive in the toughest fields of the year and will now get to battle a much weaker composition of his peers. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Torrey Pines South 5. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. 2023 Sony Open First Round Leader Picks: Can J.T. There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. While he still has work to do, many fully exempt members would love to trade places with that position, but it projects to improve at Bay Hill where he placed T17 in his last trip in 2019. Before this week's PGA Tour event, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 The American Express. Recent form, plus some strong vibes at El Camaleon, have me leaning with him over the Bermuda champ. Well do the same taking a couple from each article and summing it up for you! Thats a tough scene. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Mayo: Matt Kuchar (50-1, DraftKings) BACK to the scene of the crime from Kuch. Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. His short game has been tidy, gaining strokes around-the-green in five of his last seven starts while gaining strokes with his putter in seven straight. This hasnt been the run of golf that Conners was hoping for this season. Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Hes gained 10-plus strokes to the field five times during that run, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Palmer was able to grab World No. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Stadium Course at PGA West, Trending: 1. The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Shane Lowry ($10,400 DraftKings | $11,800 FanDuel). WebPGA Tour betting predictions, tips, analysis and best picks surrounding PGA Tour events, including outright, PGA Tour prop bets and much more. Though he was never really at the top on Sunday with a chance to win, he played great in the runner-up finish and that should translate to another chance to win here. Griffin rebounded from an MC at Pebble Beach by finishing T-21 last week in Florida. The exciting thing for Bezuidenhout is his course history. The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. Web12 of the Best PGA-Rated Golf Courses for Your Bucket List - SPY 1 week ago 1. Homa and Gooch are great friends off the golf course, and that can help throughout the week. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. ET, with world No. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. , I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) The next biggest story to watch is Viktor Hovland's quest for a three-peat in this event, something that has not been done on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker won three consecutive John Deere Classics between 2009 and 2011. Thats his second top-25 finish in his first four starts during this campaign. Matchup Results from the Bermuda Championship: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Rodgers (-125) over S.H. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. Morikawa is fresh off a T-6 at Riviera where he gained 8.25 strokes from tee-to-green, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. (Subscribe for video or audio.) Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. Reunion Resort & Golf Club 7. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise. After seemingly making strides with his approach play in La Jolla and Phoenix, he took a few steps backlosing 2.90 strokes on approach at Riviera. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Its the type of course the ultra-accurate Streelman could still contend, and though hes only played this event once since 2009, he does boast a top-three to his name a long time ago. All Rights Reserved. Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/category/pga-odds-lines-picks-predictions, PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and predictions, NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis, Jeff Overton odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Ludvig Aberg odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Roberto Diaz odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Eric Axley odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Seonghyeon Kim odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Will Zalatoris odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Justin Thomas odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Min Woo Lee odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ben Taylor odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ryan Palmer odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Rai odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Eric Cole odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, J.J. Spaun odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Wise odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Thriston Lawrence odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Phoenix Suns at Chicago Bulls odds, picks and predictions, Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions, New York Knicks at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions, Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions, Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions, New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions, Portland Trail Blazers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. I worry about him losing five strokes on the putting surfaces, but his clubhead speed and newfound confidence can be a difference-maker this week. Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. So what 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks should you target this week? While that sounds great, its likely unsustainable. RELATED: Worldwide Technology Championship DFS picks 2022: Scottie Schefflers glaring weakness. PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). This season, Zalatoris ranks 28th in birdie percentage, while his partner, Riley, is tied for 23rd. . His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field.
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